MISC
|
|
Strategic Fragmentation: Endogenous Trade Retrenchment under Geopolitical Uncertainty
Sole Author
Rajaonarison Haja
Lead
We model global fragmentation as a rational response to contract enforcement uncertainty. Dyads adjust supply chains anticipating strategic misalignment, fragmentation propagates nonlinearly, concentrates in sensitive sectors, and persists after tensions ease. Simulations show asymmetric decoupling in tech. Strong institutional commitments are needed to restore integration.
Waseda/Pretoria University CEPR/ERSA Network
1
18
202507
Not exist
English
Summary of research publication (international conferences)
Not International Collabolation
Url
Main Achievement
|
